UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?


Costa vs.

Vettori

Dawson vs.

Glenn

Clark vs.

Edwards

Caceres vs.

Choi

Grant vs.

Trinaldo

Negumereanu vs.

Villanueva

MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
2021: 167-97
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? Costa

(57%)

UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? Dawson

(87%)

UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? Clark

(75%)

UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? Choi

(50.1%)

UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? Trinaldo

(63%)

UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? Negumereanu

(77%)

John Morgan
@MMAjunkieJohn
2021: 172-92
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Vettori
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Clark
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Choi
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
2021: 166-98
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Vettori
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Edwards
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Choi
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Nolan King
@mma_kings
2021: 164-100
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Vettori
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Edwards
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Choi
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Dan Tom
@DanTomMMA
2021: 161-103
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? 2020 Champion
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Vettori
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Glenn
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Clark
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Choi
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Villanueva
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
2021: 160-104
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? 2018 Champion
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Costa
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Edwards
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Choi
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Grant
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
2021: 160-104
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Vettori
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Clark
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Choi
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohnMMA
2021: 159-105
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? 2014 Champion
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Vettori
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Clark
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Caceres
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
2021: 155-109
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event? 2017 Champion
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Costa
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Clark
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Choi
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
2021: 154-110
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Vettori
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Edwards
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Caceres
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
2021: 153-111
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Vettori
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Clark
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Caceres
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Grant
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
2021: 151-113
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Costa
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Clark
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Choi
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
2021: 150-115
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Costa
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Clark
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Choi
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
2021: 90-58
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Vettori
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Dawson
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Clark
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Caceres
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Grant
UFC Fight Night 196 predictions: Marvin Vettori or Paulo Costa in 205-pound main event?
Negumereanu

The UFC stays home in Las Vegas this week with a key middleweight matchup atop the card – thought it won’t be at that weight class.

UFC Fight Night 196 takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The card streams on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

In the main event, Paulo Costa (13-1 MMA, 5-1 UFC) takes on Marvin Vettori (17-4-1 MMA, 7-3-1 UFC) in a fight between the most recent two middleweight title challengers. They both lost to champion Israel Adesanya. But this fight won’t be at middleweight thanks to Costa’s failure to make weight. They’ll fight at 205 pounds after Costa came into fight week heavy and intially asked for a catchweight. Vettori is a -185 favorite at Tipico; the comeback on Costa is +140. Our 13 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers have Vettori with a 9-4 picks lead.

In the co-feature, Grant Dawson (17-1 MMA, 5-0 UFC) is the biggest favorite on the card at -420 in his lightweight fight against Ricky Glenn (22-6-1 MMA, 4-3 UFC). He’s a near-unanimous pick from our staff members at 12-1.

Also on the main card, Jessica-Rose Clark (10-6 MMA, 3-2 UFC) takes on Joselyne Edwards (10-3 MMA, 1-1 UFC) in a women’s bantamweight bout. Clark is a -160 favorite, and she’s got a sizable 9-4 picks lead.

Alex Caceres (18-12 MMA, 13-10 UFC) meets Seungwoo Choi (10-3 MMA, 3-2 UFC) in a featherweight bout. Choi nearly is a 3-1 favorite, and he’s up big in the picks at 9-4.

It’s a close fight at the betting window between welterweights Dwight Grant (11-3 MMA, 3-2 UFC) and Francisco Trinaldo (26-8 MMA, 16-7 UFC). Trinaldo is just a -135 favorite, but he’s got a big 10-3 edge in the picks.

And to open the main card, Nicolae Negumereanu (10-1 MMA, 1-1 UFC) is a -230 favorite at light heavyweight against Ike Villanueva (18-12 MMA, 1-3 UFC). He’s a near-unanimous pick at 12-1 from our staff members.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Costa (57 percent), Dawson (87 percent), Clark (75 percent), Choic (50.1 percent), Trinaldo (63 percent) and Negumereanu (77 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.